Science Fiction, Star Wars and the Future – Prediction in Product Management

Niels Bohr, the Danish Physicist (1885 – 1962), said that predictions are difficult especially about the future. We all make predictions all the time. We have to. Specifically if you are part of a technology company. You need to consider what direction to take with your product.

What can we learn from Science Fiction? Do you watch a science fiction film and think “wow, this is the way life is going to be like”? Can we look at science fiction that was done 50 years ago and see if the writer was able to predict the ways things are today?

What can we learn from the Science Fiction predictions? What can we learn from the miss-predictions?

Think about Star Trek. How technology was predicted? Is there technology there that shaped our future (Cell Phones)? Is there technology that is yet to come – “Beam me up, Scotty”?

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Think about Blade Runner[1], written in 1968 by Phillip K Dick, depicting life on earth at 2020. We are almost at there. Can we compare the way Phillip K Dick foresaw 2020, or Ridley Scott[2] in the film adaptation (1982), to what 2020 will really be like?

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Think about Minority Report, Written in 1956 by the same author adapted to screen in 2001 by Steven Spielberg[3], depicting life in 2040. Is this the movie that predicted the iPhone touch screen?

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This lecture series focuses on these questions from a technology-product perspective. We will be looking on how Science Fiction creators look at the future and see what we can learn from it.
What does the prediction process look like? What do we consider? What do we ignore? Where do we predict well? Where do we fall?
How can we predict more successfully?
Lecture 1 of 3 is by Lior Zadicareo, Partner at StarVision and Product Management Expert


[1] Story by Phillip K. Dick is “Do Androids Dream of Electric Sheep”, Film by Ridley Scott named “Blade Runner”
[2] Screen Play by Hampton Fancher and David Peoples.
[3] Screen Play by Frank Scott and Jon Cohen